Is Aaron Rodgers back on track? Trust Cam Newton as QB1? Fantastic Observations of the Week 11 – The Athletic

This series answers a question for each team after the Week 11 games (usually looking ahead and “what does that mean?”). It uses advanced metrics, analytics, game strip reviews, statistical trends, and a myriad of other stuff. It features a variety of systems, many of which are covered in this introductory article and discussed in more detail at www.TheFootballScientist.com.

(Note: EPA metrics detailed below are by TruMedia. Other advanced metrics outside of KC’s unique metrics are by TruMedia / PFF, unless otherwise noted. Fantasy point totals are in full PPR environments.)

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Arizona Cardinals

How much confidence can fantasy managers have in Zach Ertz?

It may seem like Ertz should be a go-to contender after tying a career-high with two touchdown receptions against Seattle, but is this just an anomaly or something fantastic managers can count on for the sake of it? ‘to come up ?

Advanced metrics lean towards the anomaly. Ertz has only posted 2.7 red zone routes per game over the past three weeks, a total that ranks tied for 31st among the tight ends in that category during that span. Part of the increase in his goal has to be attributed to the fact that DeAndre Hopkins is not in the lineup for all of these games.

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